12-20-11, 06:51 PM | #26 |
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12-20-11, 06:52 PM | #27 | |
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12-20-11, 07:27 PM | #28 |
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Having given considerable thought to every post and point I have concluded that none of us are at loggerheads nor should we be. I believe you love this country and want only the best for it and us. I am optimistic that we can work all this out. (too bad working it out isn't up to us) Of course NFE could come along and throw a monkey in the wrench...nah I guess I'm looking forward to anyones take on this.
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12-20-11, 07:27 PM | #29 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Damn you, Billy...you're going to get me fired.
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Billy, as Neanderthal as it may seem, I think age, statesmanship, and overall masculinity are important. When we are dealing with the Middle East and their androcentric culture, perceived strength is important. In the eyes of most hardline Arabs, Paul would be only slightly more intimidating than Hilary Clinton, and probably only because they wouldn’t require him to wear a burqa just to talk to them. Remember, it doesn’t matter how nice, smart, thoughtful you are…if you can’t lead. And our own citizens aren’t that much better. Making fun of things like James Stockdale’s thick glasses and hearing problems (the result of POW torture, come on people…shameful!), Chris Christie’s weight, and Janet Reno’s manliness are still perceived as fair game. Believe me, I can always tell when I win an argument. It’s usually when my weight enters the discussion. Unfortunately, even in this day and age it is better to have Mitt Romney’s hair than Ron Paul’s earnestness. Empirically speaking, Paul comes off as kind of goofy. I’d love if he were my neighbor, but the man will never be President. Quote:
I agree with you as to the mechanism, but not your conclusion. Arabs have been adversarial to the U.S. since its inception. We certainly weren’t bombing them then. In fact, it was only our bombs that stopped them raiding our ships and enslaving our men. Perhaps that response just became a habit. My position is that it is the media that has emboldened them. They know that there will be a certain anti-American segment of our own population that will come to their defense, no matter the wrong they have done, and been justly punished for. Quote:
This issue is complicated, as we did indeed make use of Saddam as a tool against Iran for a long time. Whether the WMD’s were there or not is still debatable. The fact is they have never been found, so it would appear the threats were unfounded. However, I will say that there is still a price to be paid for empty threats. In this country at least, it is against the law to threaten someone, though it is rarely enforced, unless the threat is credible. I guess when one decides to make empty threats, one forfeits the right to cry foul when someone takes the threats seriously. Quote:
I’m sure a little hostage situation in the 70’s might have had something to do with it too. Yes, the Iraq war brought it out, but the hatred of the U.S. has been with Iraq since the Shah. Quote:
I am not a fan of the “win the hearts and minds” strategy being implemented by the military. Especially in an area where we are already hated. I say this in all seriousness. Let them wallow in their own squalor. If they ever want our help, they will ask for it. Quote:
I am in favor of either doing something about him, or shutting up. Much like Saddam Hussein, he has made lots of threats. It wouldn’t break my heart if he were to turn up “late” for breakfast one morning. Ironically, we never actually did anything to Chavez in the beginning. Venezuelans were just poor (and angry) because the price of oil was so low. As we know today, the U.S. does not set the price of oil. Chavez came to power about the same time were obsequiously handing over the Panama Canal to Panama, despite us bearing all of the cost of its construction and maintenance. Once again, in an effort to kiss Latin America’s arse, Carter only invited more open hostility. Chavez learned well how to deal with America. Quote:
No disagreement here. Giuliani is nothing special. He gets cancer, cheats on his wife, and demogogues just like everyone else. I will give him credit for having the stones to clean up Times Square. Quote:
Bush was only popular because people were scared. The right loved him because they “knew” he would go to war, and the left accepted him because he hadn’t…”yet.” You can see that only one of those positions is sustainable, so I wouldn’t put much stock in a poll number non sequitur. Just think of the poll numbers of the President who has Ahmadinejad assassinated! (just kidding here…or am I?) Quote:
I’ve heard this many times as an example of how we are inconsistent. This is not true. Even Marcus Aurelius knew to fight only the battles you think you can win and talk your way out of the others if you can. But it is not a valid excuse to stop other nations graduating from one category to the other. Quote:
You make it sound so easy. They’ll just “get some nukes.” I agree with it being rational that they don’t like it when we exert our influence. I wouldn’t either if I were them. But the reality is, we developed the nuke first, and thus the responsibility of the benevolent dictator (in this matter only) falls upon our shoulders. I would place the evil of us keeping them subjugated lower than the evil of them also obtaining nukes on the “we’re screwed now” meter. Just be glad they didn’t get nukes first. Quote:
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I would love to believe that somehow they were privy to details average Joe you and I never found out about, but I’m pretty sure it’s more mundane, like money, influence, or to distract from the embarrassment over getting caught receiving a hummer in the Oval Office. I think in the case of the Maine, there was some hostility already brewing, and once the shooting started, nobody wanted to admit the mistake made. Plus, we were right in the middle of the Victorian Era, when war was somewhat romanticized. We need to get out of Korea. The South Koreans don’t really like us. They know they’re screwed without us, so they let us waste our money on them. Maybe we should threaten the Chinese with letting Japan invade them again. The Japanese seem to know how to handle the Chinese. (that’s just a little humor) Quote:
Forget the hearts and minds of the Vietnamese. We lost that war on our own shores. The combination of media sabotage, war profiteering, and general descent into dope-smoking hippydom turned the U.S. into a stumbling giant, afraid to commit to any singular course of action. Quote:
First mistake: we fought for people who hate us, though it was to safeguard oil reserves and the stability they provide. Second (worst) mistake: We strayed from Marcus Aurelius again. When you fight a war, you make it as short, and final as possible. Wrong or right, Hussein had to die the moment the first shot was fired. Otherwise, you get what resulted: the perception (correct?) that the U.S. is a paper tiger at heart. Quote:
We do that a lot. It really has to do with the transitory nature of our government. Every 4 years our compass swings around 180 degrees, and we abandon all of the commitments the previous administration made. Not on paper, of course…but in reality, yes. There are no votes to be gained in maintaining the status quo. A crappy system for those who believe we are their ally. Quote:
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I often say this to people I am arguing with, and though I don’t find it a complicated concept, they sometimes fail to grasp the subtleties of it. I think you will. I have no concern for the rationale for a person’s position; i.e. religious motivations for certain policies. I would only be concerned if it became the mechanism for instituting those policies. There is a huge difference between a nation of religious people and a theocracy. As for O’Reilly, I rarely watch him anymore. He has become far too enamored of his own voice. I will say though, that I think he did imply that the stupid thing was Paul saying it out loud; i.e., there will be a political price to pay. He may think the content was stupid too, for all I know. I don’t trust anything I hear at face value, so I have a hard time relating to what Grandpa Fred and Grandma Ethel get out of it. Quote:
No doubt here. Anywhere there is money to be made, you will always have ulterior motives. Eisenhower’s warning was solid advice. What we mustn’t do, however, is allow the hystericals on the other side to spew out “truth” about this unchecked. These are the same kind of rabid, uneducated idiots who put out Loose Change, a supposed expose about how the U.S. government brought down the Twin Towers; a film I can personally debunk in about 15 minutes. I’m sure you’ve had more than one experience with some dumb, smelly college hippie who knew everything about the evil industrial military complex, dude. Quote:
You know I would not condescend to you lightly. You possess excellent inductive and deductive reasoning (at least one person told the review board that LOL), yet this matter is one purely of experience. I am reminded of the fable of the scorpion and the frog (very loosely told): A scorpion stands at a river unable to cross. He spies a frog, whom he asks to carry him across the river. The frog is afraid, because he thinks the scorpion might sting him. The scorpion says “that’s crazy…if I sting you, we’d both drown.” So the frog agrees. Halfway across the river, the scorpion stings the frog. The frog, as he starts to die, asks “why did you do that?” The scorpion, beginning to sink, shrugs and says “I couldn’t help it. It’s in my nature.” You have not been stung enough times by the “scorpion” of compromise. Compromise is touted as a sort of Holy Grail these days; an end unto itself. The problem is, one side can simply exaggerate what they want, so that when compromise is reached, they got everything they wanted in the first place. (See my Ron Paul “poker” scenario below.) The Democrats are, and have always been better negotiators for their causes. It’s not because they are smarter. It’s built into the system. Ostensibly, the perfect Republican position would be based 100% upon the Constitution. One can’t get more constitutional than 100%. Therefore, all a Republican can do is to undo previous losses. A Democrat can take the legal ball and roll with it, as far as he can take it. And due to our dependence on precedent (again, see below), it gets harder and harder for the Republican to undo those losses. If the Republicans decide to cut military spending, that “common ground” you dream of will evaporate faster than a fart in a hurricane. Quote:
We are indeed broke. But I would disagree with your cause and effect of the 20th century. Ironically, our greatest periods of economic expansion have come after our most vulgar displays of power (Pantera…ROCK ON!). WW1 begat the roaring 20’s, and WW2 begat the 50’s expansion. It’s as if we all do better when the realities of life and death become tangible, and we are swelled with national (some would say jingoistic) pride, and are more focused on just working hard and enjoying life. Or maybe people just get conditioned to the hustle and bustle of military production pace, and it hangs over a while. I am all for cutting government spending (I would wager I’m more hardline in that department than even you), but we will have a fight on our hands. The crux of the problem is that we can’t seem to accept why we are a dying old superpower. There are far too many idle hands and minds. People expect a life of luxury, with no sweat input. I laughed out loud the other day when I read the “Occupy Wall Street” list of suggested salaries for occupations. It is ironic that they think they are fighting to save the country, when they are in fact its death knell. Quote:
I’m with you on this. The military has become the personal and political plaything of the President (much as the courts have taken over legislation). However, and I am only speaking pragmatically, given the current state of affairs in Congress, I am not sure it wouldn’t be worse. This bunch of clowns can’t even pass a budget. I wonder if the downside of a President acting unilaterally isn’t at least infinitesimally better than a Congress who might refuse to declare a necessary war over some domestic oil pipeline squabble. That’s probably just my moral fatigue showing though. I’ve been arguing politics for over 30 years, and maybe I’m hitting a lull. As for Ron Paul, I am not so concerned with his ability to fight a war. Even FDR, the worst president in history (give Obama time, folks) was effective at commanding the troops. I am concerned with his perceived weakness being an invitation to attack. The threat of military force is and always will be a part of diplomacy. Ron Paul is not a very good poker player. It’s one thing entirely to never bluff. But to wear like a badge of courage that you’ll never bluff is suicide. Quote:
Precedent, by its very nature relies on interpretation of the Constitution, rather than adherence to. The Constitution was never meant to be interpreted. It was mean to be taken as is, or amended. It still amazes me; the wisdom of the Framers to have so little ego invested as to include a means to undo what they did. Precedent is a very dangerous concept. Can one person change the country? Questionable. Can five? Absolutely, and they do it all the time in the SCOTUS. What makes precedent so repugnant to me is that it really represents a “guild” mentality on the part of the legal profession. Lawyers (and I’m sure you can back this up for me, Billy) when arguing a point, too often fall back on “well so-and so Court ruled a certain way and set precedent, so that’s the way it is,” rather than asking if that decision was correct to begin with. Precedent means “if we screwed up, we have to keep screwing up, rather than dishonor a past justice by overturning his ruling.” Whatever happens, don’t rock the boat. My “favorite” example of this is Everson v. Department of Education, 1947. Regardless of how anyone feels about public displays of religion, I should hope that anyone would be offended over what started it. A penny ante case over parents being reimbursed for bus fares for their children to get to school, whether it be public or parochial. Seriously?!?! For that minor dispute, we somehow arrive at the complete banishment of all things religious from the public square? Even Black knew the case was a loser. So the court actually found in favor of the plaintiff, and the Catholics continued to be reimbursed by the state. This was a masterful stroke, as he gave the Catholics what they wanted, keeping them happy, while setting them up for a crushing defeat. He snuck “separation of church and state” into the argument. It was legislation by sleight of hand. It’s as if I prosecuted you for Crime A, then decided what you did wasn’t actually Crime A, but merely Action B, and while you celebrate your acquittal, quietly convince everyone Action B is actually Crime B. It’s clear that Black’s majority opinion was nothing more than a vehicle for him to push his anti-Catholic agenda. Black exploited precedence as a means to do what Congress could and rightfully would not. (By the way, I don’t fail to notice the sweet irony of Black being a much vaunted U of A alma mater.) Now Everson is accepted as unassailable. They’ve already based too much other bad law upon it. There is no way back to the Constitution without overthrow of the government. Quote:
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12-20-11, 08:16 PM | #30 |
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bloody hell, I have to respond to a point by point response.....oh well, come back tonight....damn
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12-20-11, 08:30 PM | #31 |
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hahahaha.......now THIS is interesting fellas. truly what i think AMERICA, oops.....i mean, THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA is all about. TALKING it out and governing ourselves. DEBATE IS AN AWESUM THING. POINT.COUNTERPOINT.
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12-20-11, 09:15 PM | #32 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No argument. I support most of his policies, not the man. I think 75 is too old unless you are a freak of nature. He is not. He is a freak of politics, but not nature. Quote:
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As for the 20s and 50s, your interpretation could be correct; OR, I could assert that we saw the delayed gains for 1916-17 and 1941(actually 29)-1945 finally come into reality. If war holds you back for a few years, and then ends, and the economy roars back - did it roar back because you engaged in war? Or stopped fighting? Chicken or the egg. Quote:
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Thats the point, isn't it? I don't think he will run as a 3rd party candidate, but yea, he is liberated from trying to come up with electable positions. Must be nice. And he is on the verge of winning Iowa doing it. Amazing. I think he has done more than any other GOP politician to strengthen the party, and the idiots in Washington don't even realize it. Go to a college campus and see what the political factions support. There, Paul is like Obama is at a union rally. And that is going to be the future of the GOP, albeit with some defections (Hillary was once a Goldwater girl, Greenspan was an Ayn Rand "accolyte") ------------- Now, what will you say the crux of your argument is? You haggle a bit here and there, and I try to correct it, but when we add it all up, what are you saying? That we can engage in almost constant war, and still remain safe?
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12-20-11, 09:16 PM | #33 |
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By the way, trying to keep track of such a post is difficult...lets figure out a better way to stick on certain points, cause damn....I spent more time figuring out the quote source code.
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12-20-11, 09:39 PM | #34 |
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Not to mention, everyone is assuming we could stop their nuke program. Its a secret nuke program. If we strike surgically, there is little guarantee we destroy all we need to. And if we engage in all out war, well the country does not have the will for that. Iran will be the toughest nation we fight since Japan. They are moving up a couple classes from the Vietnamese or Iraqis.
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12-20-11, 09:44 PM | #35 | ||
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I think the main topic should probably have stayed more about Ron Paul. I disagree with Paul on foreign policy. He is an idealist, a trait widely shared with young, fresh-faced, enthusiastic college kids. It is very easy to be an idealist when one has no skin in the game yet. I still have my ivory tower moments myself, so I can understand his appeal. No, we can not engage in almost constant war, and especially not when our domestic house in is such disarray. We should pick our wars more carefully, but engage in them more ferociously when we do. I would gladly let Iran and the rest of the Middle East alone, but for two things: oil and Jews. Big surprise. Since we're commited, we have to win. We can't abandon one, and I don't want to abandon the other. Ron Paul has as much as said Israel can take care of itself. Quote:
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12-20-11, 09:46 PM | #36 | |
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I agree they would be tough to defeat, but consider they have almost no oil refining capability. No gasoline...No jet fuel. That is why an Iran with a nuke is very dangerous. It will be their only bargaining chip.
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12-20-11, 09:55 PM | #37 |
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Oil is not a real reason to go to war with them. They sell it to us and will continue to do so unless we declare war. They value money more than religion. And we have enough oil that, should we be forced to choose, we should choose to drill rather than fight.
The Jews are strong and can take care of themselves. They are no different than South Korea. I don't think the non-interventionist plank is so idealistic. It is naive and idealistic to think you can subdue the world, and make everyone like you through force,. It is pragmatic to see that as impossible, and instead to decide to concentrate on domestic interests. Recasting it as otherwise shows how far astray we have gone. Remember, avoid entangling alliances.
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12-20-11, 10:13 PM | #38 | |
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Sidebar on Israel: If a Republican President ever officially abandoned Israel, would American Jews switch sides? Your last paragraph has some straw man embedded in it. I do not think force produces "like". I believe it only produces "won't bother again." But it has to be done effectively. With the eggshell walking our military is forced to endure anymore, I'm not sure we could clear out an OWS camp. Oh, I agree about avoiding entangling alliances. The irony is, people are always calling for coalitions. What are those, if not entangling alliances?
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12-20-11, 10:13 PM | #39 |
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Anybody who wants to introduce democracy, ala the neoconservatives, are walking in the highly unsuccessful shoes of one Woodrow Wilson. THAT should give conservatives pause.
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12-20-11, 10:15 PM | #40 |
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Experience disproves this,. See the blowback theory. (concedes there was a bit of a strawman, but its besides the point)
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12-20-11, 10:16 PM | #41 |
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Are you under the impression that the jews vote republican? Cause I'm not.
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12-20-11, 10:25 PM | #42 | |||
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Sorry to digress further, but I think you made a point earlier about Hugo Black being an originalist? You know, I can see that, but I'm sure he was mostly interested in a "pre-3/5 of a man" kind of originalism. Quote:
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12-20-11, 10:33 PM | #43 |
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Its crucial to understand the idea of blowback to understand Paul's foreign policy. Simply put, it is the idea that intervention creates negative externalities that would not have occurred but for that intervention.
Without understanding this point, its easy to see how you would think that Paul just wants us to go in the hole and pretend that the boogeyman doesn't exist. __________________________________________________ ________________ We actually don't dwell too much in studying the historical figures of the law. For instance, they will never ask you what Cardozo's legal philosophy was on a test. But I can recall from some independent reading that Black defined his originalism as being tempered by a HEAVY deference for the legislative branch. So, if Congress passes a law, his understanding of the Constitution was such that it almost required him to defer to their judgment. Kinda makes him a good pal of FDR.
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12-20-11, 10:41 PM | #44 | |
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Something interesting for you on neoconservatism, from wiki (so it must be true)
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12-20-11, 10:46 PM | #45 |
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Okay, I understand the concept. I just hadn't heard the term. And it is 100% correct. But it's incomplete. For lack of a better word, there is also "blowforward." That would be externalities produced by inaction.
Take a look at Everson and see if you agree with my view. By my understanding the Supreme Court can not rule on matters not at hand. My reasoning says that the very fact that they ruled in favor of the plaintiff necessarily invalidates the other part of the opinion. It is a contradiction that offends my sensibilities greatly. The neocon stuff is great. I (perhaps too much) simplify it by defining them as Democrats who hang out with Republicans because they like to fight wars. Anyway, I will of course, continue to read about all of this. I'm sure there will be some more posts in the day to come. If I don't stop now, I'm going to wake up in the middle of the night with the urge to post some drivel.
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12-20-11, 10:52 PM | #46 |
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OK, lets call a moratorium till tomorow, otherwise I will start dissecting preventative war, ahem, blowforward.
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12-20-11, 11:45 PM | #47 |
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It's funny watching two "conservatives" stroke each others egos, like there is some real debate going on.
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12-20-11, 11:58 PM | #48 | |
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12-21-11, 12:49 AM | #49 | |
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There...is that better? Does that qualify as "real debate?"
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12-21-11, 01:49 AM | #50 |
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I thought you went to bed HOURS ago, or I'd have called you with my two cents...............
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